![]() Lakers vs Nuggets Game 1 spread and Over/Under analysisįollowing the Lakers' six-game series victory over Golden State in the conference semifinals, oddsmakers opened the Nuggets as 5-point home favorites for Tuesday’s series opener. My best bet: Anthony Davis Over 22.5 ( -115 at BetMGM)Īffiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. Shop for the best price on the lower end of the total as the projections get much tighter at the taller 23.5. The Over 22.5 is juiced as high as -143 and some books have moved off the 22.5 and to 23.5 (Over -120). This total is pretty much on the fence between those two outputs and ticking up at some sportsbooks. The other two games came in a home-and-home set in October in which Davis scored 22 and 23 points with an entirely different roster around him. Back in December, he lasted only 17 minutes and scored 10 points before leaving with a foot injury that would follow him throughout the schedule. He played three games against the Nuggets this season, but you can’t put any weight into those meetings. That said, he did score 23 points or more in four of the six games with Golden State and has surpassed this current total in half of his dozen postseason performances so far. He’s played below his scoring prop in five straight playoff games and is 2-7 O/U versus his projected points going back to Round 1. Jokic may not have the defensive chops of Davis, but he’s a master at drawing whistles and seeing his checks ushered to the bench with foul trouble, as he did to Suns center Deandre Ayon and T-Wolves big Karl-Anthony Towns.ĭavis’ previous scoring output has been below expectations as well. This 22.5-point total is the shortest points prop AD has been tabbed with all postseason and a few factors are working to whittle this number down from previous scoring Over/Unders highs of 25.5 points.įor one, the matchup. ![]() My number is a little more level, but ends up on the lower end of Davis’ scoring forecast at 23.75 points, which is still plenty to clear his modest point prop of 22.5 points (Over -115). ![]() The Game 1 player modeling does paint a clash of the titans atop the Rocky Mountains, with Davis’ point projections bouncing between lows of 21 points and highs closer to 27 tonight. He’s averaging more than 21 points, 14 rebounds along with 3.3 blocks and 1.7 steals in the playoffs.ĭavis is the toughest challenge for Jokic on both ends of the floor so far in the postseason, and vice versa facing the two-time MVP. 2 in the tournament (we see you, Jimmy Butler). You could make the case that behind Jokic’s bonkers stat lines, Davis’ postseason performances rank No. But with the Nuggets marching out Nikola Jokic to the middle of the key, all eyes are on Lakers big man Anthony Davis.ĭavis has been a two-way force for Los Angeles. It’s been a while since “ LeBron James versus Whoever” wasn’t the marquee matchup of an NBA Playoffs series. Lakers vs Nuggets Game 1 picks and predictions Nuggets Western Conference Finals betting preview for even more insights ahead of tip off. ![]() I run down the point spread and Over/Under total for Game 1 and give my best NBA picks and predictions for Lakers vs. clashed four times during the regular season, with the teams splitting those four encounters SU and ATS, but those meetings all came before Los Angeles’ roster revamp in mid-February, which sparked the team’s NBA odds-defying late-season surge and playoff push. While LeBron James brings plenty of star power to the West finals, this series is headlined by a battle between two of the top big men in the NBA, with Nikola Jokic and Anthony Davis dueling in the paint.ĭenver and L.A. Los Angeles is a road underdog in Denver for the series opener, taking on the top-seeded Nuggets on Tuesday night. If the Los Angeles Lakers are going to get back to the top of the mountain in the NBA, they’ll have to first climb a mile high to face the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals.
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